2024 Tasmania State Election: Unpacking the Power Shift and Emergence of Coalition Politics

2024 Tasmania State Election: Unpacking the Power Shift and Emergence of Coalition Politics


2024 Tasmania State Election – The 2024 state election in Tasmania has been a fascinating study in political grammar, with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) projecting a hung parliament, a rare occurrence in Tasmanian politics. This outcome is due to the Liberals’ inability to secure a majority of seats, leading to a diverse mix of Greens, independents, and possibly members of the Jacqui Lambie Network on the political chessboard 1.


The election has tested the leadership of Jeremy Rockliff, the Liberal leader, and Rebecca White, the Labor leader. Both leaders fell short of the 18 seats needed to govern in their own right in the expanded 35-seat lower house, setting the stage for a period of political negotiation and compromise 2.


The five-week election campaign was marked by policy debates, public engagements, and strategic maneuvering. Despite their efforts, the Liberals, under Rockliff’s leadership, were unable to consolidate their power base and secure a majority. This setback is significant for the party, traditionally a strong force in Tasmanian politics.

Labor leader Rebecca White led her party’s campaign focusing on social justice issues and economic reform. However, like the Liberals, Labor was unable to secure the necessary seats to form a government in their own right, raising questions about the party’s strategy and its ability to connect with the Tasmanian electorate.


The election also saw the rise of new political figures, such as Rob Fairs, a Liberal candidate and media personality, projected to win the second Liberal seat in Bass. Fairs’ entry into politics, marked by his alignment with the Liberal Party’s values, represents a new wave of political leadership in Tasmania.

The hung parliament has opened the door for smaller parties and independents to play a more significant role in Tasmanian politics. The Greens, for instance, have the opportunity to influence policy and decision-making in a way that was not possible in a majority government. Similarly, independents and members of the Jacqui Lambie Network could hold the balance of power, shaping the future direction of Tasmania.

The 2024 state election in Tasmania has been a political rollercoaster, reflecting a diverse and engaged electorate unwilling to give any single party unchecked power. As Tasmania moves into this new era of coalition politics, the actions and decisions of its political leaders will be under intense scrutiny. The challenge for these leaders will be to navigate this complex political landscape with integrity, vision, and a commitment to serving the best interests of Tasmania.

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